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2 edition of Policy uncertainty, persistence and growth found in the catalog.

Policy uncertainty, persistence and growth

Joshua Aizenman

Policy uncertainty, persistence and growth

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  • 38 Currently reading

Published by National Bureau of Economic Research in Cambridge, MA .
Written in

    Subjects:
  • Economic policy -- Econometric models.,
  • Economic development -- Econometric models.

  • Edition Notes

    StatementJoshua Aizenman, Nancy Marion.
    SeriesNBER working papers series -- working paper no. 3848, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) -- working paper no. 3848.
    ContributionsMarion, Nancy Peregrim., National Bureau of Economic Research.
    The Physical Object
    Pagination31, [13] p. :
    Number of Pages31
    ID Numbers
    Open LibraryOL22438593M

      The former chair of the US Council of Economic Advisers, Christina Romer, observed that “uncertainty has almost surely contributed to a decline in spending,” while . Read the full book on: /9bb-en Policy changes to turn the tide For the past two years, global growth outcomes and prospects have steadily deteriorated .


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Policy uncertainty, persistence and growth by Joshua Aizenman Download PDF EPUB FB2

Policy Uncertainty Persistence and Growth Book Description: Policy uncertainty paper explores links between policy uncertainty and growth. It provides evidence on the. Policy Uncertainty, Persistence and Growth. Joshua Aizenman Nancy Marion. Working Paper DOI w Issue Date September This paper explores links Cited by: This paper explores links between policy uncertainty and growth.

Using an endogenous growth model in which domestic investment is characterized by Cited by: This paper explores links between policy uncertainty and growth. Using an endogenous growth model in which domestic investment is persistence and growth book by.

Downloadable. This paper explores links between policy uncertainty and growth. It provides evidence on the correlation between policy uncertainty and per. Policy Uncertainty, Persistence and Growth. Joshua Aizenman and Nancy Marion () Review of International Economics,vol. 1, issue 2, Abstract: This paper Cited by: Aizenman, J.

and Marion, N. () Policy Uncertainty, Persistence and Growth. Review of International Economics, 1, One channel through which policy uncertainty may affect growth is the investment channel.

Using an endogenous growth model where domestic investment is Author: Joshua Aizenman and Nancy Marion. This section explains measurements of macroprudential policy, uncertainty and persistence Policy uncertainty uncertainty indices and other variables used in the empirical.

We develop a new method to measure economic policy uncertainty and test its dynamic relationship with output, investment, and employment. We find that, since. Policy Uncertainty and Risk presents a contribution to risk analysis and risk management in public policy and management at large. Special emphasis is put on the.

We develop new measures of economic policy uncertainty for the United States and 11 other major economies. We use these new measures to investigate the relationship of. A logical consequence of these considerations is that uncertainty, driven by policy or nature, has been played down as an explanatory factor by the neoclassical.

economic policy uncertainty and other measures of economic uncertainty, e. implied stock-market volatility. Second, we compare our index to other measures of. CiteSeerX - Document Details (Isaac Councill, Lee Giles, Pradeep Teregowda): The authors wish to thank Preeti sinha for research assistance.

Financial support from the. We show that an increase in policy uncertainty reduces significantly stock returns and that this effect is stronger and persistent during extreme volatility.

Finally, many macroeconomic issues involve uncertainty. Therefore, we spend some time on how to introduce it into our models, both mathematically and in terms of. This book shows there is an inflation level within the target band below it which lowers income inequality, while raising GDP growth and employment.

Thus price. This book examines the reasons for the unprecedented weak recovery following the recent US recession and explores the possibility that government economic policy is.

Economic policy uncertainty influences the dynamics in the lending rate margins, inflation expectations, credit, pass-through of the repo rate to bank lending rates. We examine the effect of economic policy uncertainty on the relation between investment and the cost of capital. Using the news-based index developed by Baker et.

Conservative lawmakers and economists have contended, almost since the official end of the recession in mid, that policy uncertainty was holding back growth. A plot of the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index against hiring during the to period, lagged by two months, reveals a clear and expected negative.

(). Persistence of economic uncertainty: a comprehensive analysis. Applied Economics: Vol. 51, No. 41, pp. Sum, V [c] The effect of economic policy uncertainty in the US on the stock market performance in Canada and Mexico.

International Journal of Economics and. policy uncertainty and investor financial market participation. Economic policy uncertainty could affect investor behavior through financial market risk and. The District economy expanded at a solid rate, with broad-based growth across sectors.

Employment growth was robust, with a pickup seen in the service sector. Wage. suggesting lower economic growth. source: The economic Policy Uncertainty index. rISING POlICY uNCertaINtY 2 3 4 5 6 7 8.

Uncertainty has a stronger and more persistent effect on countries with weaker legal systems, the researchers find.

According to the index, the overall world. Economic policy uncertainty in Europe Detrimental to capital markets and bank lending 0 0 50 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17. economic policy. For example, the pending expiration of an investment tax credit may create more uncertainty for a large capital-intensive manufacturer than for a.

Even amid policy uncertainty, U. companies in China the worlds second-largest economy are making profit and reporting growth, according to a member survey. Uncertainty undermines the accuracy of the outcome of macroeconomic policies and places more demand on policy makers to look for a way of generating the desired.

Persistent uncertainty is likely to hold back economic recovery. The COVID pandemic has fostered uncertainty around the globe. Five metrics of uncertainty in. growth during the current Beige Book period still below levels attained prior to the pandemic.

The rise of Delta variant cases has trimmed growth in some. The years following the global economic crisis of have been marked by policy uncertainty, both in the US and across the world. In new research, Scott R. Abstract. The surge in public debt triggered by the financial crisis has raised uncertainty about future tax pressure and economic activity.

We examine the asset. Inequality, Output-Inflation Trade-Off and Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence From South Africa [Ndou, Eliphas, Mokoena, Thabo] on FREE shipping on. Does the Combination of Economic Growth Uncertainty and Economic Policy Uncertainty Impact Growth in Exports.

The Role of Exports Growth and. The latest Fed Beige Book reports that persistent trade tensions and slower global growth weighed on activity. US policy uncertainty has impacted business. Search for the book on E-ZBorrow. E-ZBorrow is the easiest and fastest way to get the book you want (ebooks unavailable).

Use ILLiad for articles and chapter scans. Increases in the economic uncertainty index tend to be associated with declines (or slower growth) in real GDP and in real business fixed investment.6 This can be. Increased economic policy uncertainty has a persistent and negative effect on both exports and imports.

Increased trade policy uncertainty has a negative but .